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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Coronavirus: Case for Digital Money?

More a monograph than a paper highlighted today from Zara Kakushadze and Jim Kyung Soo Liew in which they put forward an incredibly simple idea. One who’s time appears to have been at hand for some time but one COVID-19 might hasten into reality. Money is dirty the researchers point out. Not just in a […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Fighting Covid-19 China in Action

On June 7th The State Council Information Office of the People’s Republic of China published Fighting Covid-19 China in Action (click the link to get to the full text). A 66-page ‘White Paper’ it aims to: a) set the record straight on how China initially communicated it’s COVID-19 problems to the world and, b) provide […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Why are fossil fuels so hard to quit?

The clear skies many cities have enjoyed thanks to an economic slowdown forced by COVID-19 responses has led to fresh discussions about the need to stop burning ‘stuff’ to satisfy our energy needs. Samantha Gross, an engineer by training and a fellow in the Foreign Policy program at Brookings (the non-partisan Washington based think-tank), weighs […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – The Innovation Winter Is Coming: How the U.S.-China Trade War Endangers the World

Here’s the key message from the paper highlighted today: “The U.S. is playing a game of catch-up, but rather than supporting its own tech industry it is seeking to slow down China’s progress. The U.S. cannot afford to miss out on AI’s potential to deliver $13 trillion to the global economy.The U.S.-instigated trade war not […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Corporate Governance in China: A Survey

If you have a practitioner or academic interest in the issue of Corporate Governance in China you need to review the paper highlighted today in full; but, to warn you, it’s a dry old read. For those with merely a general interest I’ll do my best to summarize the main points below. Fuxiu Jiang and […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Age, Death Risk, and the Design of an Exit Strategy: A Guide for Policymakers and for Citizens Who Want to Stay Alive

The authors of the paper highlighted today, Andrew J. Oswald and Nattavudh Powdthavee from the University of Warwick, writing in a Discussion Paper for the German based IZA Institute for Labour Economics, want you to understand just one thing: it’s now irrefutably clear, COVID-19 hits the older members of society hardest. They use data from […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Rage Against the Regime? Risk of Job Automation and Political Attitudes in China

A sure sign a survey is reliable is a wide spread of responses. Stefan Pasch of the Goethe University in Frankfurt notes this when discussing the results of his work which involves asking Chinese people, in China, how they feel about their government (among other things). If people were towing a Party-line or too afraid […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Education and Innovation: The Long Shadow of the Cultural Revolution

In the paper highlighted today Zhanghai Huang from the Tsinghua University (et. al.) takes a look at the long term consequence on business innovation of denying managers a college education. China’s a good place to study this as one of the greater wickednesses of the so-called Cultural Revolution was to close down all institutes of […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Is Financial Globalization in Reverse after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? Evidence from Corporate Valuations

Craig Doidge (et. al.) from the University of Toronto has taken a look at company valuations around the world, pre- and post-GFC, to see how they’ve altered relatively and if the world got financially ‘flatter’ in the process? However as the study period, from 2001-2007 before the GFC and 2010-2018 after the GFC, was associated […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Trends in Fat Intake and Their Impacts on Body Weight and the Risk of Overweight and Obesity Among Chinese Adults

The paper highlighted this week is a pre-print from the Lancet and they wish to make it clear that such” Preprints are not peer-reviewed and should not be used for clinical decision making or reporting of research to a lay audience without indicating that it is preliminary research that has not been peer-reviewed.” OK? Fat, […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Eating Breakfast or Attending Extracurricular Tutoring, Which One is More Effective in Improving Student’s Performance? An Empirical Study Based on the Data from A Large-Scale Provincial Survey

For many families a choice doesn’t have to be made between more food and more instruction for their children; but, for a surprisingly high number in a study highlighted today from Jiangsu province in China, resources have to be juggled. As Yanliu Liu of the Nanjing Normal University (et.al) points out the jury remains out […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Will [The] Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer?

Qasim Bukhari and Yusuf Jameel of M.I.T. qualify their work in the paper highlighted today by reminding their sample is only from January 22nd to March 21st and over this period 83% of testing has taken place in non-tropical i.e. countries in a latitude 30-degrees North or above. Moreover 90% of positive results have come […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – A Behavioral Signaling Explanation for Stock Splits: Evidence from China

‘Because people are idiots!’ is something you hear in finance when something happens that, well, shouldn’t. However the real world is filled with examples of things that finance-theory says are ‘wrong’ and ‘shouldn’t happen’ but happen anyway. An outstanding example is the stock-split. This is when a company has done so well its stock price […]

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Thoughts

Absent a Horseman, or Three – Why A Recovery, in Financial Markets, From the Effects of the COVID-19 Outbreak Will Be Faster Than From Past Dislocations

All happy markets are alike; each unhappy market is unhappy in its own way. Having said that, a look back at the big market dislocations of my career (the first being 1987) reveals recurrent commonalities. Turbulence in financial markets can be traced to one of four root causes; let’s call them the Four Horsemen of […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Mathematical Recommendations to Fight Against COVID-19

Chenlin Gu of the École Normale Supérieure (Paris, France) and colleagues (the authors of today’s highlighted paper) admit they’re not medical practitioners, they’re numbers geeks. Nor do they represent (as far as I can tell) any special-interest political group and this makes their work especially pertinent as it comes without implied partisanship. In this short […]

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Thoughts

Just Sayin’

I’m a fan of Einstein, and who isn’t? One of his most applicable quotes to finance is the one about everything needing to be simple; but not too simple. In recent weeks, and ones to come, we’ve heard and will hear a lot of talk about markets from people who, mostly, haven’t a clue what […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – On the Drivers of Persistence in Stock Market Volatility in China

Previous studies have noted China’s stock markets are more volatile than more developed peers; but the paper highlighted today, from Julia Darby and Jinkai Zhang at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow, addresses the why of this. By analyzing the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets from 2010 to 2017 and comparing them to the U.S. and […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Automated Detection of Chinese Government Astroturfers Using Network and Social Metadata

Know what an ‘astroturfer’ is? Media manipulators have been employing these for some time and in the West the tobacco and oil industries are among the special interest groups caught red-handed in the practice. An astroturfer is an agent employed to post comment on the interweb as if they were a ‘grass-roots’ real-life person genuinely […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Climate, Diseases, and the Origins of Corruption

An absence of economic progress, in some countries around the world, seems to go hand in hand with the level of corruption in these places. It’s also been observed that hot countries seem to be more often afflicted with this problem versus ones in more temperate climes; but nobody can really agree on the ‘why’ […]

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Sunday Papers

The Sunday Paper – Hard to Get: The Scarcity of Women and the Competition for High-Income Men in Urban China

China has way more marriageable men than women. Surely then women seeking men should be in luck? In theory, yes. In practice though, and especially for higher educated and earning women, this is demonstrably not the case. The phenomenon of ‘leftover women’ is evident throughout economically better developed Asia but the researchers, David Ong, Yu […]